Price analysis 3/17: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, MATIC, SOL, DOT, SHIB


After a recovery on March 16, the United States equities markets are again down on March 17. Investors remain concerned about the vulnerability of banks in the U.S. and Europe. A silver lining for cryptocurrency investors is that Bitcoin (BTC) has remained decoupled from the equities markets and has risen to its highest level since Jan. 12.

Galaxy Digital founder and CEO Michael Novogratz said in an interview with CNBC that the U.S. and the globe will face a credit crunch as banks lend less to rebuild capital. He said investors should be long on Bitcoin and crypto because these are the times for which it was created.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Quantitative tightening seems to be giving way to a period of quantitative easing. The banks have already borrowed $150 billion from the Federal Reserve, which is more than the amount borrowed during the 2008 financial crisis.

Analysts pointed out that the Fed has added $300 billion to its balance sheet in a week, second only to the $500 billion pumped after the March 2020 crash. The QE in 2020 triggered a rally in Bitcoin that took it from about $4,000 to $69,000.

Will history repeat itself? Could Bitcoin and altcoins sustain higher levels? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls purchased the dip to $24,000 on March 15 and pushed the price above the strong overhead resistance of $25,250 on March 17. This completes an inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

There is no major resistance between the current level and $32,000, hence the bulls may find it easy to cover this distance in a short time. The bears may mount a strong defense at $32,000, but if bulls overcome it, the BTC/USDT pair could extend its uptrend to the pattern target of $35,024.

The rising 20-day exponential moving average, or EMA ($23,298), and the relative strength index, or RSI, near the overbought zone indicate that bulls are in command.

If bears want to regain control, they will have to quickly reverse direction and sink the pair below the moving averages. Until then, the bulls are likely to view the dips as a buying opportunity.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) rebounded off the moving averages on March 16, indicating that traders are buying on dips.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to push and sustain the price above the $1,743–$1,780 resistance zone. If they succeed, the ETH/USDT pair could accelerate toward the psychologically important level of $2,000. This is the final hurdle above which the pair will signal the start of a potential uptrend.

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to halt the up-move in the overhead zone and pull the pair back below the moving averages. That could trap the aggressive bulls, and the pair may then collapse to $1,461.

BNB price analysis

The long tail on BNB’s (BNB) March 15 candlestick shows that the bulls are buying the dips to the 20-day EMA ($302). This signals a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally picked up momentum on March 17 and skyrocketed the price above the overhead resistance at $318.

Buyers are trying to strengthen their position further by kicking the price above $338. If they do that, the negative H&S pattern will be invalidated. The BNB/USDT pair could first rally to $360 and later to $400.

On the downside, a break below the 20-day EMA will indicate that bears are back in the driver’s seat.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) has been consolidating inside the tight range between the 50-day simple moving average, or SMA ($0.38), and the support at $0.36.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, tight-range trading is followed by an increase in volatility. The bulls will try to catapult the price above the 50-day SMA. If they can pull it off, it will signal the start of a stronger recovery to $0.42. This level may again act as a formidable resistance, but if crossed, the rally could reach $0.51.

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below $0.36. The pair could then slump to the strong support zone between $0.32 and $0.30.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano’s ADA (ADA) is stuck between the 50-day SMA ($0.36) and the strong support at $0.29. The bulls are trying to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.34).

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair could climb to the 50-day SMA. This level may attract sellers who will try to stall the recovery. If the price turns down sharply from this level, the range-bound action may continue for some more time.

Alternatively, if bulls drive the price above the 50-day SMA, the pair could rally to the neckline of the inverse H&S pattern. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close above it may signal the start of a new uptrend.

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) rebounded off the $0.07 level and has reached the downtrend line. This suggests that bulls are buying on minor dips.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

A break and close above the downtrend line will be the first sign that the correction may be over. The 50-day SMA ($0.08) may act as a resistance, but it is likely to be broken. The DOGE/USDT pair could then start its rally to $0.09 and thereafter to $0.10.

Sellers are expected to defend the $0.10–$0.11 zone with all their might because a break above it will open the doors for a possible rally to $0.16. On the downside, a slide below the $0.07 support will tilt the advantage back in favor of the bears.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon’s MATIC (MATIC) turned up from $1.07 on March 15, indicating that the bulls are trying to flip the $1.05 level into support.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($1.16) is flattening out and the RSI is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance between supply and demand. If bulls propel the price above the 50-day SMA ($1.22), the MATIC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and rally to $1.30. This level may act as a minor hurdle, but it is likely to be crossed. The next stop may be $1.42.

On the other hand, if the price turns down sharply from the 50-day SMA, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. The pair may then oscillate between the 50-day SMA and $1.05 for a while longer.

Related: Betting on turmoil: Deribit launches Bitcoin volatility futures

Solana price analysis

Solana’s SOL (SOL) rebounded off $18.70 on March 16, which shows that the bulls are not waiting for a deeper decline to buy.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The relief rally has reached the moving averages, which are likely to offer strong resistance. If the price turns down and breaks below $18.70, it will suggest that the SOL/USDT pair may remain range-bound between the 50-day SMA ($22.21) and $15.28 for some time.

The pair will indicate a potential trend change after the bulls thrust the price above the downtrend line. That could start a rally to $27.12.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot’s DOT (DOT) plunged below the 20-day EMA ($6.09) on March 15, but the bears could not maintain the lower levels. Buyers purchased the dip and pushed the price back above the 20-day EMA on March 16.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to build upon their advantage by pushing the price above the overhead resistance at the 50-day SMA ($6.41). If this level is scaled, the DOT/USDT pair could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.85.

This level should again act as a strong resistance, but if bulls flip the moving averages into support during the next pullback, it will suggest that bulls are buying on dips. That will increase the possibility of the pair forming an inverse H&S pattern.

Contrarily, if the price once again turns down from the 50-day SMA and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate a few days of range-bound action.

Shiba Inu price analysis

Shiba Inu (SHIB) rebounded off the $0.000010 support on March 16, indicating that the bulls are trying to start a reversal.

SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The recovery is facing resistance in the zone between the 20-day EMA ($0.000011) and the downtrend line of the descending channel. The bears will again attempt to sink the price below the $0.000010 support. If they succeed, the SHIB/USDT pair may slip to the support line of the channel.

Contrarily, if bulls thrust the price above the channel, it will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The 50-day SMA ($0.000012) may also offer stiff resistance, but if this level is cleared, the SHIB/USDT pair could climb to $0.000014 and then to $0.000016.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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